Yeovil Town vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Huish Park Stadium, Yeovil, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Yeovil Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeovil Town vs Harrogate Town?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Yeovil Town (1,747) and Harrogate Town (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeovil Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Harrogate Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Yeovil Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Harrogate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | Harrogate Town 3-0 Yeovil Town | National League |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Yeovil Town 1-2 Harrogate Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs Yeovil Town on Feb 11, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Yeovil Town score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeovil Town | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yeovil Town sit 11th in National League (5 points from 3 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Yeovil Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeovil Town vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Yeovil Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Yeovil Town vs Harrogate Town played?
- Yeovil Town vs Harrogate Town is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Huish Park Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.