Solihull Moors vs Carlisle: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ARMCO Arena, Solihull, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Solihull Moors. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Solihull Moors vs Carlisle?
Carlisle starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,920 vs 1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Solihull Moors vs Carlisle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Solihull Moors
4-3-3- 9J. Wakeling
- 22B. Wodskou
- 27C. McFarlane
- 7J. Sbarra
- 8S. High
- 4J. Andrews
- 15M. Carson
- 23T. Warren
- 5J. Mills
- 29J. Tiensia
- 1Max Cameron Metcalfe
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 9G. Kelly
- 6M. Azeez
- 4H. Bunker
- 30T. Jenks
- 15B. Nicholson
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 18J. Ellis
- 1A. Desbois
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Solihull Moors have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Carlisle have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-5 | National League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 2-1 | National League Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Woking(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-5 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 0-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Solihull Moors wins, 2 draws, 0 Carlisle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Solihull Moors 3-3 Carlisle | National League |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Carlisle 1-1 Solihull Moors | National League |
Last archived meeting: Solihull Moors vs Carlisle on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Solihull Moors score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solihull Moors | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Solihull Moors sit 23rd in National League (7 points from 13 matches) and Carlisle sit 14th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 7 |
A question about Solihull Moors vs Carlisle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Solihull Moors vs Carlisle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Solihull Moors.
- Where and when is Solihull Moors vs Carlisle played?
- Solihull Moors vs Carlisle is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ARMCO Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.