Eastleigh vs Boston United: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Boston United?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Eastleigh (1,695) and Boston United (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastleigh have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Boston United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 2-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Eastleigh win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Boston United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Boston United 1-2 Eastleigh | National League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Eastleigh 2-0 Boston United | National League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Boston United 1-2 Eastleigh | National League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Eastleigh 1-1 Boston United | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Eastleigh on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastleigh score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Boston United score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Boston United | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastleigh sit 8th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Boston United sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Boston United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastleigh vs Boston United?
- The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Eastleigh vs Boston United played?
- Eastleigh vs Boston United is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Silverlake Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.