Match

Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd: prediction and stats

National LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)EnviroVent Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire

Harrogate TownSutton Utd

The Footlab AI model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Harrogate Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Harrogate Town (1,852) and Sutton Utd (1,811).

43%25%32%
Harrogate Town winDrawSutton Utd win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Harrogate Town

4-3-3
  1. 23B. Dolaghan
  2. 9S. McCoulsky
  3. 18J. Muldoon
  1. 3E. Bristow
  2. 15B. Hobson
  3. 14M. Williams
  1. 24L. Cass
  2. 4A. Baptiste
  3. 16S. Dreyer
  4. 26G. Horton
  1. 34L. Hutchinson

Sutton Utd

4-3-3
  1. 9T. Babalola
  2. 16B. Njoku
  3. 18D. Ogbonna
  1. 8J. Taylor
  2. 7E. Osadebe
  3. 19Joe Knight
  1. 5W. Nightingale
  2. 27B. Brookes
  3. 12D. Urpens
  4. 15J. Moore-Taylor
  1. 1S. Brits

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:17 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harrogate Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Sutton Utd have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Harrogate Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026AFC Hornchurch(home)3-0National League
Sep 29, 2026Hartlepool(away)1-0National League
Sep 26, 2026Eastleigh(home)4-1National League
Sep 19, 2026Boreham Wood(away)1-4National League
Sep 15, 2026AFC Fylde(home)1-2National League
Sutton Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(away)1-1National League
Sep 30, 2026Tamworth(away)0-2National League
Sep 26, 2026Forest Green(home)3-3National League
Sep 19, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)1-1National League
Sep 15, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-1National League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Harrogate Town win, 1 draw, 4 Sutton Utd wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 13, 2024Harrogate Town 2-2 Sutton UtdLeague Two
Jan 30, 2024Sutton Utd 1-2 Harrogate TownLeague Two
Jan 28, 2023Harrogate Town 0-1 Sutton UtdLeague Two
Sep 3, 2022Sutton Utd 2-1 Harrogate TownLeague Two
May 7, 2022Harrogate Town 0-2 Sutton UtdLeague Two
Jan 25, 2022Sutton Utd 1-0 Harrogate TownEFL Trophy

Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd on Apr 13, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Harrogate Town score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sutton Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Harrogate Town2.31.4312/1513/15
Sutton Utd1.21.347/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Harrogate Town sit 2nd in National League (25 points from 12 matches) and Sutton Utd sit 11th (18 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Harrogate Town12813281725
11Sutton Utd12534141618

A question about Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?
The Footlab AI model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sutton Utd.
Where and when is Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd played?
Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at EnviroVent Stadium, in the National League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Harrogate Town and Sutton Utd

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