Where and when is Adana Demirspor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?

Adana Demirspor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Adana Demirspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana

Adana Demirspor

Aliağa FAŞ

The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adana Demirspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?

Aliağa FAŞ is a heavy favourite: 1,796 Elo points against 1,452, a 343-point gap.

Adana Demirspor win15 %

Draw20 %

Aliağa FAŞ win64 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adana Demirspor have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adana Demirspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	İstanbulspor(away)	1-8	1. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Ümraniyespor(home)	1-3	1. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Boluspor(away)	0-6	1. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Iğdır FK(home)	1-6	1. Lig
Apr 7, 2026	Hatayspor(away)	0-4	1. Lig

Aliağa FAŞ
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 4, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	0-0	2. Lig
Apr 30, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Bursaspor(home)	0-5	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Menemen FK(home)	5-0	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Adana Demirspor	0.5	4.5	0	6/15	13/15
Aliağa FAŞ	2.1	1.7	5	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Aliağa FAŞ	34	21	6	7	81	32	69

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adana Demirspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?: The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Adana Demirspor.
Where and when is Adana Demirspor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?: Adana Demirspor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.