Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia, As Somozas
The Footlab model makes Somozas the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Celta de Vigo III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Somozas (1,774) and Celta de Vigo III (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somozas have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Celta de Vigo III have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Barco(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Noia(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barbadás(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | CD Lugo B(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Somozas win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Celta de Vigo III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Somozas 1-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Celta de Vigo III 0-0 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Celta de Vigo III 0-4 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Somozas 0-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Somozas 0-0 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Celta de Vigo III 1-1 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Somozas score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo III score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somozas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Celta de Vigo III | 2.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Somozas sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (51 points from 34 matches) and Celta de Vigo III sit 7th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celta de Vigo III | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57 | 42 | 51 |
| 8 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III?
- The Footlab model makes Somozas the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Celta de Vigo III.
- Where and when is Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III played?
- Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.