Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia, As Somozas
The Footlab AI model makes Somozas the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Celta de Vigo III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Somozas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,627 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Somozas (1,774) and Celta de Vigo III (1,779).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Somozas
Not enough data to predict the Somozas lineup.
Celta de Vigo III
Not enough data to predict the Celta de Vigo III lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 05:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somozas have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Celta de Vigo III have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Antela(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Boiro(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celtiga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Somozas win, 4 draws, 1 Celta de Vigo III win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Somozas 1-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Celta de Vigo III 0-0 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Celta de Vigo III 0-4 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Somozas 0-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Somozas 0-0 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Celta de Vigo III 1-1 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Somozas score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo III score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somozas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Celta de Vigo III | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Somozas sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 8 matches) and Celta de Vigo III sit 17th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Somozas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo III | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Somozas the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Celta de Vigo III.
- Where and when is Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III played?
- Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.