Southampton vs Birmingham: result 4-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Birmingham?
Southampton won 4-1 on September 18, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 11′Rickie LambertSouthampton (pen.)
- 21′GulySouthampton
- 34′A. LallanaSouthampton
- 49′C. WoodBirmingham
- 78′R. ChaplowSouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 7 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Birmingham have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2011 | Swindon Town(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Leicester(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2011 | Ipswich(away) | 5-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Watford(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2011 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Coventry(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Derby(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; Birmingham score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| Birmingham | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 24th in Championship (-1 points from 2 matches) and Birmingham sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy