Southampton vs Middlesbrough: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Middlesbrough?
Southampton and Middlesbrough drew 1-1 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 61′A. ArmstrongSouthampton
- 77′K. SèneMiddlesbrough
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Middlesbrough have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Liverpool(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Hull City(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Watford(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Norwich(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2025 | West Brom(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Preston(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Millwall(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Southampton win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Middlesbrough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton | Championship |
| May 13, 2017 | Middlesbrough 1-2 Southampton | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2016 | Southampton 1-0 Middlesbrough | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Southampton 3-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs Middlesbrough on Mar 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 24th in Championship (-1 points from 2 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy