Southampton W vs Crystal Palace W: prediction and stats
WSL CupGroup StageKick-off on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace W the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Southampton W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crystal Palace W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southampton W vs Crystal Palace W?
Crystal Palace W starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southampton W vs Crystal Palace W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southampton W
4-3-3- 7E. Brazil
- 9Emma Harries
- 11A. Nicoll
- 4M. Bashford
- 17L. McInnes
- 18F. Jupp
- 3M. Mott
- 23M. Collett
- 15N. Murphy
- 5A. Goddard
- 13Alina Santos
Crystal Palace W
3-4-2-1- 19A. Larkin
- 4S. Enge
- 29A. Swaby
- 17A. Blanchard
- 24S. Hopcroft
- 27S. O’Brien
- 61A. Moynihan
- 3J. Napier
- 15H. Nolan
- 32M. Bartrip
- 30S. Yanez
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton W have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Crystal Palace W have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bristol City W(away) | 1-2 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 30, 2026 | West Ham W(away) | 1-3 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nottingham Forest W(home) | 1-1 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sunderland W(away) | 0-0 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ipswich Town W(home) | 0-0 | Women's Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Aston Villa W(away) | 1-1 | FA WSL |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Charlton Athletic W(home) | 3-0 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Birmingham City W(away) | 3-3 | FA WSL |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Watford W(home) | 1-0 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur W(home) | 0-7 | FA WSL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Southampton W wins, 1 draw, 1 Crystal Palace W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Southampton W 3-1 Crystal Palace W | Women's Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Crystal Palace W 4-4 Southampton W | Women's Championship |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Southampton W 1-2 Crystal Palace W | Women's Championship |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Crystal Palace W 3-4 Southampton W | Women's Championship |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Southampton W 2-0 Crystal Palace W | Women's Championship |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Crystal Palace W 1-2 Southampton W | Women's Championship |
Last archived meeting: Southampton W vs Crystal Palace W on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton W score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace W score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton W | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Crystal Palace W | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Southampton W vs Crystal Palace W?
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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southampton W vs Crystal Palace W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace W the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Southampton W.
- Where and when is Southampton W vs Crystal Palace W played?
- Southampton W vs Crystal Palace W is played on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the WSL Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Everton W2-0Birmingham City W
- Sep 23, 2026Nottingham Forest W0-2Aston Villa W
- Sep 23, 2026Manchester United W10-1Sheffield United W
- Sep 23, 2026Tottenham Hotspur W0-0West Ham W
- Sep 23, 2026Liverpool W4-2Sunderland W
- Sep 23, 2026Crystal Palace W1-0Watford W
- Sep 23, 2026Leicester City FC W0-2London City Lionesses W
- Sep 23, 2026Brighton W4-0Charlton Athletic W