Southampton W vs Durham W: prediction and stats
Women's ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton W the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Durham W. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,127 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southampton W vs Durham W?
Southampton W starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,779).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southampton W vs Durham W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southampton W
4-3-3- 7E. Brazil
- 9Emma Harries
- 11A. Nicoll
- 4M. Bashford
- 17L. McInnes
- 18F. Jupp
- 3M. Mott
- 23M. Collett
- 5A. Goddard
- 2R. Brown
- 1G. Moloney
Durham W
4-3-3- 11J. Pennock
- 19Bayley Hutchison
- 10G. Ede
- 7B. Hepple
- 23R. Lowe
- 24E. Morran
- 5S. Wilson
- 3L. Briggs
- 4M. McComasky
- 2G. Ayre
- 35C. Sheppard
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton W have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Durham W have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Crystal Palace W(home) | 3-2 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bristol City W(away) | 1-1 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bristol City W(away) | 1-2 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 30, 2026 | West Ham W(away) | 1-3 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nottingham Forest W(home) | 1-1 | Women's Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Birmingham City W(home) | 0-5 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burnley W(away) | 2-3 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Newcastle United W(home) | 0-3 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Manchester United W(home) | 1-5 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sheffield United W(away) | 1-4 | Women's Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Southampton W win, 3 draws, 2 Durham W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Durham W 1-3 Southampton W | Women's Championship |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Durham W 0-0 Southampton W | Women's Championship |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Southampton W 1-1 Durham W | Women's Championship |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Durham W 1-0 Southampton W | Women's Championship |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Southampton W 1-1 Durham W | Women's Championship |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Durham W 1-0 Southampton W | Women's Championship |
Last archived meeting: Durham W vs Southampton W on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton W score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Durham W score 1.1 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton W | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Durham W | 1.1 | 2.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton W sit 7th in Women's Championship (6 points from 5 matches) and Durham W sit 12th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Southampton W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Durham W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Southampton W vs Durham W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southampton W vs Durham W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton W the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Durham W.
- Where and when is Southampton W vs Durham W played?
- Southampton W vs Durham W is played on March 28, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the Women's Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.