Southend vs Millwall: result 4-1 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 4, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Roots Hall, Southend-on-Sea, Essex
Full time
What was the result of Southend vs Millwall?
Southend won 4-1 on January 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 22′B. CorrSouthend
- 45′William Henry AtkinsonSouthend
- 57′M. TimlinSouthend
- 64′Martyn WoolfordMillwall
- 90′R. LeonardSouthend
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southend have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Millwall have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2014 | Portsmouth(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2013 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2013 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2013 | Rochdale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Torquay(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2014 | Leicester(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2013 | Doncaster(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2013 | Watford(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2013 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Blackburn(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Southend score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.1 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southend | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Millwall | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy