Southern District vs Shatin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Aberdeen Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Shatin. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southern District vs Shatin?
Southern District starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,424 vs 1,299).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southern District vs Shatin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southern District
4-3-3- 12Kak Yi Lai
- 22S. Golubović
- 9Poon Pui Hin
- 11S. Sasaki
- 99Cheng Tsz-Sum
- 10Wong Ho Chun Anson
- 2C. Hall
- 3Fabio Erins
- 16Chak Ting Fung
- 4K. Kawase
- 1Ng Wai Him
Shatin
4-3-3- 28Hoi-To Lai
- 9J. Scott
- 22Tsz-Yin So
- 4R. Cheng Chun-Wang
- 8Lam Hok Hei
- 4Cheng Chun Wang Ryan
- 45M. Ansah
- 30J. Arthur
- 47S. Takatori
- 31Law Tsz Chun
- 93M. F. Ho
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southern District have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Shatin have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | North District(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 0-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | North District(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Southern District wins, 1 draw, 0 Shatin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2015 | Southern District 6-0 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 21, 2015 | Shatin 1-4 Southern District | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 15, 2012 | Southern District 3-1 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Shatin 1-1 Southern District | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Southern District vs Shatin on Apr 15, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Southern District score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shatin score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern District | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Shatin | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Southern District | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 25 |
A question about Southern District vs Shatin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southern District vs Shatin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Shatin.
- Where and when is Southern District vs Shatin played?
- Southern District vs Shatin is played on May 22, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Aberdeen Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.