Warriors vs Southern District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Warriors the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Southern District. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warriors vs Southern District?
Warriors starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,429).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Warriors vs Southern District
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Warriors
4-3-3- 19Luis Phelipe
- 7N. Baffoe
- 80Chung Wai Keung
- 10B. Kraev
- 6Wu Chun Ming
- 11S. Ichikawa
- 4R. Tachibana
- 44D. Tursunov
- 5Chan Yun Tung
- 22Tsang Yi Hang Ellison
- 28Chan Ka Ho
Southern District
4-3-3- 12Kak Yi Lai
- 22S. Golubović
- 9Poon Pui Hin
- 11S. Sasaki
- 99Cheng Tsz-Sum
- 10Wong Ho Chun Anson
- 2C. Hall
- 3Fabio Erins
- 16Chak Ting Fung
- 4K. Kawase
- 1Ng Wai Him
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warriors have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Southern District have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 1-0 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Shatin(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | North District(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Warriors wins, 1 draw, 2 Southern District wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Warriors 1-0 Southern District | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Southern District 0-3 Warriors | Premier League |
| May 1, 2025 | Warriors 0-4 Southern District | Sapling Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Southern District 0-1 Warriors | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Warriors 1-1 Southern District | Premier League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Warriors 0-1 Southern District | Sapling Cup |
Last archived meeting: Warriors vs Southern District on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Warriors score 2.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Southern District score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 2.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Southern District | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warriors sit 3rd in Premier League (42 points from 22 matches) and Southern District sit 2nd (25 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Southern DistrictPlacement Round | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 25 |
| 3 | WarriorsPremier League, Championship Round | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 42 |
A question about Warriors vs Southern District?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warriors vs Southern District?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warriors the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Southern District.
- Where and when is Warriors vs Southern District played?
- Warriors vs Southern District is played on November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.