Southport vs Chorley: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Southport the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southport wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,954 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southport vs Chorley?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Southport (1,668) and Chorley (1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southport vs Chorley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southport
Not enough data to predict the Southport lineup.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 12:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Chorley have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-5 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Southport wins, 2 draws, 4 Chorley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Chorley 4-2 Southport | National League - North |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Southport 1-1 Chorley | National League - North |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Southport 0-0 Chorley | National League - North |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Chorley 4-1 Southport | National League - North |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Chorley 3-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Southport 0-2 Chorley | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Southport score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southport | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Chorley | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southport sit 23rd in National League - North (10 points from 15 matches) and Chorley sit 13th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Chorley | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 20 |
| 23 | Southport | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 10 |
A question about Southport vs Chorley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southport vs Chorley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southport the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Chorley.
- Where and when is Southport vs Chorley played?
- Southport vs Chorley is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.