Morecambe vs Hebburn Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hebburn Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Morecambe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morecambe vs Hebburn Town?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Morecambe (1,803) and Hebburn Town (1,887).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morecambe vs Hebburn Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Hebburn Town
Not enough data to predict the Hebburn Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Hebburn Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 1-5 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Morecambe score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hebburn Town score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hebburn Town | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morecambe sit 17th in National League - North (14 points from 11 matches) and Hebburn Town sit 7th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Morecambe vs Hebburn Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Hebburn Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hebburn Town.
- Where and when is Morecambe vs Hebburn Town played?
- Morecambe vs Hebburn Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.