Buxton vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Darlington 1883?
Buxton starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxton vs Darlington 1883
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Darlington 1883
Not enough data to predict the Darlington 1883 lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Redcar Town(away) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Buxton wins, 0 draws, 2 Darlington 1883 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883 0-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Buxton 1-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Darlington 1883 0-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Darlington 1883 1-0 Buxton | FA Trophy |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Buxton 2-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Darlington 1883 2-1 Buxton | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Darlington 1883 vs Buxton on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Darlington 1883 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 10th in National League - North (16 points from 11 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 23rd (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 23 | Darlington 1883 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
A question about Buxton vs Darlington 1883?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Darlington 1883?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Darlington 1883 played?
- Buxton vs Darlington 1883 is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.