Buxton vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Darlington 1883?
Buxton starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Buxton win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Darlington 1883 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883 0-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Buxton 1-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Darlington 1883 0-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Darlington 1883 1-0 Buxton | FA Trophy |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Buxton 2-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Darlington 1883 2-1 Buxton | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Darlington 1883 vs Buxton on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Darlington 1883 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 14th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 19 | Darlington 1883 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Darlington 1883?
- The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Darlington 1883 played?
- Buxton vs Darlington 1883 is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.