Spakenburg vs RKAV Volendam: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for RKAV Volendam. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spakenburg vs RKAV Volendam?
Spakenburg starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; RKAV Volendam have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spakenburg(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 0-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 5, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 0-7 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Barendrecht(home) | 5-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Spakenburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 RKAV Volendam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam 2-1 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Spakenburg 3-4 RKAV Volendam | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 6, 2025 | RKAV Volendam 1-3 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 11, 2025 | RKAV Volendam 1-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Spakenburg 4-0 RKAV Volendam | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; RKAV Volendam score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| RKAV Volendam | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and RKAV Volendam sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | RKAV Volendam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs RKAV Volendam?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for RKAV Volendam.
- Where and when is Spakenburg vs RKAV Volendam played?
- Spakenburg vs RKAV Volendam is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Kozakken BoysvsKloetinge
- Jan 16, 2027AFC AmsterdamvsGVVV Veenendaal
- Jan 16, 2027BarendrechtvsKoninklijke HFC
- Jan 16, 2027Quick BoysvsIjsselmeervogels
- Jan 16, 2027HoekvsKatwijk
- Jan 16, 2027Almere City IIvsHHC
- Jan 16, 2027Sparta Rotterdam IIvsRijnsburgse Boys
- Jan 17, 2027De TreffersvsROHDA Raalte