Match

Hoek vs Katwijk: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

HoekKatwijk

The Footlab AI model makes Hoek the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Katwijk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hoek wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoek vs Katwijk?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Hoek (1,892) and Katwijk (1,863).

47%24%29%
Hoek winDrawKatwijk win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hoek vs Katwijk

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hoek

4-4-2
  1. 10N. Aelterman
  2. 7K. Hebbelinck
  1. 8S. Brebels
  2. 14R. Van Hauter
  3. 24G. Siereveld
  4. 18H. Bouihrouchane
  1. 2R. De Poorter
  2. 5Y. de Nooijer
  3. 21G. Martens
  4. 4L. Ketels
  1. 1M. Standaert

Katwijk

4-3-3
  1. 7G. Korte
  2. 10M. Suleiman
  3. 24Ilyas el Moussaoui
  1. 22M. Brenna
  2. 20O. van der Meer
  3. 17G. Tiebosch
  1. 4Dalian Maatsen
  2. 16D. van Wageningen
  3. 14K. van der Veldt
  4. 25C. Touré
  1. 1M. Michaelis

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:44 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Katwijk have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026AFC Amsterdam(away)0-2Tweede Divisie
Oct 3, 2026De Treffers(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Sep 26, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II(away)0-3Tweede Divisie
Sep 19, 2026Almere City II(home)2-2Tweede Divisie
Sep 12, 2026Barendrecht(away)1-1Tweede Divisie
Katwijk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Quick Boys(away)0-6Tweede Divisie
Oct 3, 2026Kozakken Boys(home)1-5Tweede Divisie
Sep 26, 2026AFC Amsterdam(away)1-0Tweede Divisie
Sep 19, 2026De Treffers(home)1-2Tweede Divisie
Sep 12, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II(away)2-2Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Hoek wins, 1 draw, 0 Katwijk wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Katwijk 1-1 HoekTweede Divisie
Apr 4, 2026Hoek 2-0 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Aug 16, 2025Katwijk 0-1 HoekTweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Katwijk vs Hoek on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoek score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Katwijk score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hoek1.81.6210/1510/15
Katwijk1.72.1310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoek sit 15th in Tweede Divisie (9 points from 9 matches) and Katwijk sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Katwijk9324111911
15Hoek923411159

A question about Hoek vs Katwijk?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoek vs Katwijk?
The Footlab AI model makes Hoek the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Katwijk.
Where and when is Hoek vs Katwijk played?
Hoek vs Katwijk is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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