Where and when is Spakenburg vs Hoek played?

Spakenburg vs Hoek is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Spakenburg vs Hoek: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten

Spakenburg

Hoek

The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Hoek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spakenburg vs Hoek?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Spakenburg (1,923) and Hoek (1,945).

Spakenburg win40 %

Draw23 %

Hoek win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hoek have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spakenburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	RKAV Volendam(away)	1-2	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Katwijk(home)	1-0	Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(away)	2-3	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Katwijk(home)	2-1	Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026	De Treffers(away)	0-0	Tweede Divisie

Hoek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Katwijk(away)	1-1	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(home)	3-1	Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026	NAC Breda(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	De Treffers(away)	2-2	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Rijnsburgse Boys(home)	2-0	Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Spakenburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hoek win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	Hoek 1-1 Spakenburg	Tweede Divisie
Aug 30, 2025	Spakenburg 1-3 Hoek	Tweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Hoek vs Spakenburg on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Spakenburg	1.8	1.3	5	9/15	9/15
Hoek	1.9	1.4	3	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Hoek sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hoek	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
9	Spakenburg	2	1	0	1	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs Hoek?: The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Hoek.
Where and when is Spakenburg vs Hoek played?: Spakenburg vs Hoek is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.