Match

Spakenburg vs Hoek: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten

SpakenburgHoek

The Footlab AI model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Hoek. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spakenburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spakenburg vs Hoek?

On Elo ratings, Spakenburg has 1,910 points and Hoek 1,891.

52%24%24%
Spakenburg winDrawHoek win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Spakenburg vs Hoek

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Spakenburg

4-3-3
  1. 9M. van der Weijden
  2. 14S. Hage
  3. 7A. El Azzouti
  1. 34S. Lever
  2. 15H. van Lopik
  3. 8S. van Huffel
  1. 5D. Green
  2. 16O. Kok
  3. 18T. Linthorst
  4. 44J. Guiting
  1. 1S. Damkalis

Hoek

4-4-2
  1. 10N. Aelterman
  2. 7K. Hebbelinck
  1. 14R. Van Hauter
  2. 24G. Siereveld
  3. 8S. Brebels
  4. 18H. Bouihrouchane
  1. 2R. De Poorter
  2. 5Y. de Nooijer
  3. 4L. Ketels
  4. 21G. Martens
  1. 1M. Standaert

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:28 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hoek have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spakenburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Quick Boys(home)1-1Tweede Divisie
Oct 10, 2026Kozakken Boys(away)0-2Tweede Divisie
Oct 3, 2026AFC Amsterdam(home)2-1Tweede Divisie
Sep 26, 2026De Treffers(away)0-5Tweede Divisie
Sep 22, 2026RKAV Volendam(away)2-2KNVB Beker
Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Kozakken Boys(home)0-0Tweede Divisie
Oct 10, 2026AFC Amsterdam(away)0-2Tweede Divisie
Oct 3, 2026De Treffers(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Sep 26, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II(away)0-3Tweede Divisie
Sep 19, 2026Almere City II(home)2-2Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Spakenburg win, 1 draw, 1 Hoek win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Hoek 0-2 SpakenburgTweede Divisie
Jan 24, 2026Hoek 1-1 SpakenburgTweede Divisie
Aug 30, 2025Spakenburg 1-3 HoekTweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Hoek vs Spakenburg on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spakenburg score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spakenburg1.41.549/159/15
Hoek1.51.539/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (14 points from 10 matches) and Hoek sit 15th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Spakenburg10424121514
15Hoek10244111510

A question about Spakenburg vs Hoek?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs Hoek?
The Footlab AI model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Hoek.
Where and when is Spakenburg vs Hoek played?
Spakenburg vs Hoek is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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