Sparta Brno vs Velké Meziříčí: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Komárovský stadion, Brno
The Footlab model makes Sparta Brno the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Velké Meziříčí. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Brno vs Velké Meziříčí?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Sparta Brno (1,597) and Velké Meziříčí (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Brno have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Velké Meziříčí have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chotebor(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Žďár nad Sázavou(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FS Třebíč(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vrchovina(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(home) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Havlíčkův Brod(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Humpolec(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chotebor(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | FS Třebíč(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sparta Brno win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Velké Meziříčí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí 2-1 Sparta Brno | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Sparta Brno 1-2 Velké Meziříčí | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Velké Meziříčí vs Sparta Brno on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Brno score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Velké Meziříčí score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Brno | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Velké Meziříčí | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Brno sit 13th in 4. liga - Divizie D (1 points from 2 matches) and Velké Meziříčí sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sparta Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Velké Meziříčí | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Sparta Brno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Velké Meziříčí | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Brno vs Velké Meziříčí?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Brno the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Velké Meziříčí.
- Where and when is Sparta Brno vs Velké Meziříčí played?
- Sparta Brno vs Velké Meziříčí is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Komárovský stadion, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.