Žďár nad Sázavou vs Ždírec nad Doubravou: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Bouchalky, Žďár nad Sázavou
The Footlab model makes Žďár nad Sázavou the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ždírec nad Doubravou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žďár nad Sázavou vs Ždírec nad Doubravou?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Žďár nad Sázavou (1,575) and Ždírec nad Doubravou (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žďár nad Sázavou have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ždírec nad Doubravou have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FS Třebíč(away) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Brno(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bystrc Kníničky(away) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ráječko(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Kuřim(home) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tatran Bohunice(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(home) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kuřim(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Znojmo(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Žďár nad Sázavou win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ždírec nad Doubravou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Ždírec nad Doubravou 2-0 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Žďár nad Sázavou 3-2 Ždírec nad Doubravou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Ždírec nad Doubravou 0-3 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Žďár nad Sázavou 0-0 Ždírec nad Doubravou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| May 18, 2024 | Žďár nad Sázavou 3-0 Ždírec nad Doubravou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Ždírec nad Doubravou 1-3 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Ždírec nad Doubravou vs Žďár nad Sázavou on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Žďár nad Sázavou score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ždírec nad Doubravou score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žďár nad Sázavou | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ždírec nad Doubravou | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žďár nad Sázavou sit 3rd in 4. liga - Divizie D (4 points from 2 matches) and Ždírec nad Doubravou sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žďár nad Sázavou vs Ždírec nad Doubravou?
- The Footlab model makes Žďár nad Sázavou the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ždírec nad Doubravou.
- Where and when is Žďár nad Sázavou vs Ždírec nad Doubravou played?
- Žďár nad Sázavou vs Ždírec nad Doubravou is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bouchalky, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.