Humpolec vs Havlíčkův Brod: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, Humpolec
The Footlab model makes Humpolec the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Havlíčkův Brod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Humpolec vs Havlíčkův Brod?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Humpolec (1,528) and Havlíčkův Brod (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Humpolec have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Havlíčkův Brod have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bedrichov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pelhřimov(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stará Říše(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Humpolec win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Havlíčkův Brod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Havlíčkův Brod 2-0 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Humpolec 2-3 Havlíčkův Brod | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Humpolec 1-1 Havlíčkův Brod | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Havlíčkův Brod 2-1 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Humpolec 1-2 Havlíčkův Brod | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Havlíčkův Brod 2-1 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Havlíčkův Brod vs Humpolec on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Humpolec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Havlíčkův Brod score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humpolec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Havlíčkův Brod | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Humpolec sit 10th in 4. liga - Divizie D (2 points from 2 matches) and Havlíčkův Brod sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Havlíčkův Brod | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Havlíčkův Brod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Humpolec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Humpolec vs Havlíčkův Brod?
- The Footlab model makes Humpolec the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Havlíčkův Brod.
- Where and when is Humpolec vs Havlíčkův Brod played?
- Humpolec vs Havlíčkův Brod is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.