Optik Rathenow vs Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Vogelgesang, Rathenow
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Optik Rathenow. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Optik Rathenow vs Lichtenberg?
Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Optik Rathenow have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Lichtenberg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | BAK '07(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ludwigsfelde(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | BSC Süd 05(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dresden II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Optik Rathenow win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Lichtenberg 1-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Optik Rathenow 2-2 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Lichtenberg 0-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Optik Rathenow 0-3 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Optik Rathenow 1-1 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Lichtenberg 7-0 Optik Rathenow | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Lichtenberg vs Optik Rathenow on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Optik Rathenow score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optik Rathenow | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lichtenberg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Optik Rathenow sit 15th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (1 points from 2 matches) and Lichtenberg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lichtenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Optik Rathenow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Optik Rathenow vs Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Optik Rathenow.
- Where and when is Optik Rathenow vs Lichtenberg played?
- Optik Rathenow vs Lichtenberg is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vogelgesang, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026BAK '07vsTennis Borussia
- Nov 8, 2026Eintracht MahlsdorfvsMakkabi
- Nov 8, 2026NeustrelitzvsFC Lok Stendal
- Nov 8, 2026Sparta LichtenbergvsAnker Wismar
- Nov 8, 2026Mecklenburg SchwerinvsSiedenbollentin
- Nov 8, 2026Reinickendorfer FuchsevsHansa Rostock II
- Nov 8, 2026Union KlosterfeldevsHertha Zehlendorf