FC Lebbeke vs Ninove: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Lebbeke, Lebbeke
The Footlab model makes FC Lebbeke the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ninove. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Lebbeke vs Ninove?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate FC Lebbeke (1,765) and Ninove (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lebbeke have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Ninove have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(away) | 1-4 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Gullegem(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Torhout(away) | 0-6 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Lebbeke win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ninove win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | FC Lebbeke 0-1 Ninove | Third Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lebbeke score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ninove score 1.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lebbeke | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Ninove | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Lebbeke | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 40 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Lebbeke vs Ninove?
- The Footlab model makes FC Lebbeke the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ninove.
- Where and when is FC Lebbeke vs Ninove played?
- FC Lebbeke vs Ninove is played on October 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Lebbeke, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.