Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Futbol'noe pole 4 Akademiya Spartak im. F. Cherenkova, Moskva
The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow 2 the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Zvezda St. Petersburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Spartak Moscow 2 (1,661) and Zvezda St. Petersburg (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Moscow 2 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Zvezda St. Petersburg have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cherepovets(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Murom(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baltika II(away) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Spartak Moscow 2 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zvezda St. Petersburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg 2-3 Spartak Moscow 2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 2 1-1 Zvezda St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Zvezda St. Petersburg 3-0 Spartak Moscow 2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Zvezda St. Petersburg 1-4 Spartak Moscow 2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 25, 2024 | Spartak Moscow 2 6-0 Zvezda St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moscow 2 on Jun 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Moscow 2 score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Zvezda St. Petersburg score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow 2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Zvezda St. Petersburg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Moscow 2 sit 10th in Second League - Group 2 (11 points from 12 matches) and Zvezda St. Petersburg sit 9th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Zvezda St. Petersburg | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 11 | Zvezda St. Petersburg | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
| 13 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow 2 the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Zvezda St. Petersburg.
- Where and when is Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg played?
- Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Futbol'noe pole 4 Akademiya Spartak im. F. Cherenkova, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.