Cherepovets vs Torpedo Vladimir: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Cherepovets
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Vladimir the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Cherepovets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cherepovets vs Torpedo Vladimir?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Cherepovets (1,634) and Torpedo Vladimir (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherepovets have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Torpedo Vladimir have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Tosno(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tver(away) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Strogino(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Baltika II(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Cherepovets win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Torpedo Vladimir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir 1-0 Cherepovets | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Cherepovets 3-1 Torpedo Vladimir | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Torpedo Vladimir 0-0 Cherepovets | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Vladimir vs Cherepovets on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cherepovets score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Vladimir score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherepovets | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Torpedo Vladimir | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cherepovets sit 6th in Second League - Group 2 (19 points from 11 matches) and Torpedo Vladimir sit 7th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Torpedo Vladimir | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Cherepovets | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | Torpedo Vladimir | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Cherepovets | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cherepovets vs Torpedo Vladimir?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Vladimir the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Cherepovets.
- Where and when is Cherepovets vs Torpedo Vladimir played?
- Cherepovets vs Torpedo Vladimir is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.