Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke 04 II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 6Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Schalke 04 II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke 04 II?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,961) and Schalke 04 II (1,927).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Schalke 04 II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Bocholt(away) | 5-4 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Meppen(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Borussia Dortmund II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Schalke 04 II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Schalke 04 II 4-0 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund II 4-1 Schalke 04 II | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Borussia Dortmund II 3-3 Schalke 04 II | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Schalke 04 II 1-5 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-5 Schalke 04 II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Schalke 04 II vs Borussia Dortmund II on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Schalke 04 II score 2.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Schalke 04 II | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and Schalke 04 II sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Schalke 04 II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke 04 II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Schalke 04 II.
- Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke 04 II played?
- Borussia Dortmund II vs Schalke 04 II is played on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 2, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsBergisch Gladbach
- Sep 2, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsSV Rodinghausen
- Sep 2, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Sep 2, 2026FC BocholtvsBonner SC
- Sep 2, 2026WiedenbrückvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Sep 2, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsPaderborn II
- Sep 2, 2026FC GuterslohvsHilden
- Sep 2, 2026Bochum IIvsKöln II