Where and when is 1860 Rosenheim vs Erlbach played?

1860 Rosenheim vs Erlbach is played on September 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Jahnstadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1860 Rosenheim vs Erlbach: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 9Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Jahnstadion, Rosenheim

1860 Rosenheim

Erlbach

The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for 1860 Rosenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1860 Rosenheim vs Erlbach?

Erlbach starts as the favourite with a 249-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,555).

1860 Rosenheim win35 %

Draw27 %

Erlbach win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1860 Rosenheim have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Erlbach have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1860 Rosenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	1880 Wasserburg(away)	0-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Deisenhofen(home)	6-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026	Landshut(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Hankofen-Hailing(home)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Erlbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig(away)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Kirchanschöring(away)	1-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026	1880 Wasserburg(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Deisenhofen(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 1860 Rosenheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Erlbach win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 25, 2023	1860 Rosenheim 0-2 Erlbach	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 19, 2022	Erlbach 2-0 1860 Rosenheim	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: 1860 Rosenheim vs Erlbach on Mar 25, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

1860 Rosenheim score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1860 Rosenheim	1.8	2.4	5	7/15	9/15
Erlbach	1.1	1.1	7	4/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Erlbach	32	16	5	11	42	35	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1860 Rosenheim vs Erlbach?: The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for 1860 Rosenheim.
Where and when is 1860 Rosenheim vs Erlbach played?: 1860 Rosenheim vs Erlbach is played on September 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Jahnstadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.