TuS Geretsried vs Landshut: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 9Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Isaraustadion, Geretsried
The Footlab model makes Landshut the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS Geretsried vs Landshut?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate TuS Geretsried (1,746) and Landshut (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS Geretsried have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Landshut have 4, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ismaning(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Landshut score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS Geretsried | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Landshut | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | TuS Geretsried | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 50 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS Geretsried vs Landshut?
- The Footlab model makes Landshut the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for TuS Geretsried.
- Where and when is TuS Geretsried vs Landshut played?
- TuS Geretsried vs Landshut is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Isaraustadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 3, 2026Sportfreunde SchwaigvsIsmaning
- Sep 4, 20261860 RosenheimvsErlbach
- Sep 4, 2026HeimstettenvsDeisenhofen
- Sep 4, 20261860 München IIvsGundelfingen
- Sep 5, 2026SchwabmünchenvsHankofen-Hailing
- Sep 5, 2026Schalding-HeiningvsPfaffenhofen
- Sep 5, 2026KotternvsKirchanschöring
- Sep 5, 2026Pipinsriedvs1880 Wasserburg