Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 13Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kottern. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern?
Sportfreunde Schwaig starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Kottern have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kottern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-0 Kottern | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Kottern 2-4 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kottern score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kottern | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and Kottern sit 14th (33 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
| 14 | Kottern | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern?
- The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kottern.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern played?
- Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 2, 20261860 München IIvs1860 Rosenheim
- Oct 3, 2026HeimstettenvsErlbach
- Oct 3, 2026Schalding-Heiningvs1880 Wasserburg
- Oct 3, 2026PipinsriedvsIsmaning
- Oct 3, 2026SchwabmünchenvsGundelfingen
- Oct 3, 2026PfaffenhofenvsDeisenhofen
- Oct 3, 2026TuS GeretsriedvsKirchanschöring
- Oct 4, 2026Hankofen-HailingvsLandshut