Match

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 13Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding

Sportfreunde SchwaigKottern

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kottern. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern?

Sportfreunde Schwaig starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,642).

Sportfreunde Schwaig win60 %
Draw23 %
Kottern win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Kottern have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Schwaig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Erlbach(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Kirchanschöring(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Kottern
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 20261880 Wasserburg(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Deisenhofen(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Landshut(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Hankofen-Hailing(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Pfaffenhofen(home)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kottern win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-0 KotternOberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 6, 2025Kottern 2-4 Sportfreunde SchwaigOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kottern score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Schwaig1.81.159/159/15
Kottern1.11.657/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and Kottern sit 14th (33 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Sportfreunde Schwaig33121011494546
14Kottern329617405733

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern?
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kottern.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern played?
Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kottern is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sportfreunde Schwaig and Kottern

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