Match

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding

Sportfreunde SchwaigHeimstetten

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Heimstetten. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,754) and Heimstetten (1,752).

Sportfreunde Schwaig win42 %
Draw26 %
Heimstetten win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Heimstetten have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Schwaig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Erlbach(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Kirchanschöring(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Heimstetten
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Pfaffenhofen(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 21, 2026Hankofen-Hailing(home)0-4Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Schalding-Heining(home)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Schwabmünchen(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026TuS Geretsried(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Heimstetten win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 24, 2026Heimstetten 1-2 Sportfreunde SchwaigOberliga - Bayern Süd
Mar 14, 2026Heimstetten 1-1 Sportfreunde SchwaigOberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 22, 2025Sportfreunde Schwaig 1-1 HeimstettenOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Heimstetten vs Sportfreunde Schwaig on Jul 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Schwaig1.81.159/159/15
Heimstetten1.61.6410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and Heimstetten sit 7th (51 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Heimstetten321499644651
9Sportfreunde Schwaig33121011494546

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten?
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Heimstetten.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten played?
Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sportfreunde Schwaig and Heimstetten

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