Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Heimstetten. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,754) and Heimstetten (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Heimstetten have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Heimstetten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Heimstetten 1-2 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Heimstetten 1-1 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 1-1 Heimstetten | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Heimstetten vs Sportfreunde Schwaig on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Heimstetten | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and Heimstetten sit 7th (51 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heimstetten | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 46 | 51 |
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten?
- The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Heimstetten.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten played?
- Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Heimstetten is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 20261860 München IIvsSchwabmünchen
- Nov 14, 20261860 RosenheimvsPfaffenhofen
- Nov 14, 2026IsmaningvsHankofen-Hailing
- Nov 14, 2026KirchanschöringvsDeisenhofen
- Nov 14, 2026KotternvsSchalding-Heining
- Nov 14, 2026PipinsriedvsTuS Geretsried
- Nov 14, 2026Gundelfingenvs1880 Wasserburg
- Nov 14, 2026ErlbachvsLandshut