Match

Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Leimbachstadion, Siegen

Sportfreunde SiegenBonner SC

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Bonner SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Siegen (1,930) and Bonner SC (1,880).

Sportfreunde Siegen win51 %
Draw25 %
Bonner SC win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Siegen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bonner SC have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Siegen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Schalke 04 II(away)0-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026Hilden(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)2-3Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026TSV Steinbach(away)8-2Friendlies Clubs
Bonner SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Paderborn II(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Sportfreunde Lotte(home)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026SV Rodinghausen(away)1-2Regionalliga - West
Jul 31, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(home)1-2Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bonner SC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen 1-2 Bonner SCRegionalliga - West
Nov 9, 2025Bonner SC 1-1 Sportfreunde SiegenRegionalliga - West
Jul 30, 2023Bonner SC 3-1 Sportfreunde SiegenFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bonner SC score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Siegen2.31.548/1510/15
Bonner SC1.31.7212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Bonner SC sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Bonner SC4022572
18Sportfreunde Siegen4022362

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Bonner SC.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC played?
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Leimbachstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sportfreunde Siegen and Bonner SC

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