Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Leimbachstadion, Siegen
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Bonner SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Siegen (1,930) and Bonner SC (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Siegen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bonner SC have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 8-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bonner SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen 1-2 Bonner SC | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Bonner SC 1-1 Sportfreunde Siegen | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Bonner SC 3-1 Sportfreunde Siegen | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bonner SC score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Siegen | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bonner SC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Bonner SC sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bonner SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC?
- The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Bonner SC.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC played?
- Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bonner SC is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Leimbachstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsHilden
- Sep 12, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsFC Bocholt
- Sep 12, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsSchalke 04 II
- Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsSV Rodinghausen
- Sep 12, 2026Köln IIvsBergisch Gladbach
- Sep 12, 2026WiedenbrückvsPaderborn II
- Sep 12, 2026FC GuterslohvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Sep 12, 2026Bochum IIvsWestfalia Rhynern