Köln II vs Bergisch Gladbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Franz-Kremer-Stadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Köln II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Köln II vs Bergisch Gladbach?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Köln II (1,870) and Bergisch Gladbach (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Köln II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bergisch Gladbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Köln II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bergisch Gladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2022 | Köln II 5-0 Bergisch Gladbach | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 3, 2021 | Köln II 2-1 Bergisch Gladbach | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Bergisch Gladbach 2-2 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Bergisch Gladbach 1-1 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Köln II 3-0 Bergisch Gladbach | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Köln II vs Bergisch Gladbach on Jul 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Köln II score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Köln II | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Köln II sit 5th in Regionalliga - West (7 points from 4 matches) and Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Köln II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Köln II vs Bergisch Gladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Köln II.
- Where and when is Köln II vs Bergisch Gladbach played?
- Köln II vs Bergisch Gladbach is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Franz-Kremer-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsHilden
- Sep 12, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsFC Bocholt
- Sep 12, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsSchalke 04 II
- Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsSV Rodinghausen
- Sep 12, 2026WiedenbrückvsPaderborn II
- Sep 12, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsBonner SC
- Sep 12, 2026FC GuterslohvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Sep 12, 2026Bochum IIvsWestfalia Rhynern