SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Am Esper Roding Platz 1, Roding
The Footlab model makes SV Rodinghausen the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate SV Rodinghausen (1,829) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Rodinghausen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Bocholt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Rodinghausen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte 3-0 SV Rodinghausen | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 2, 2025 | SV Rodinghausen 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 SV Rodinghausen | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 12, 2024 | SV Rodinghausen 2-3 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 SV Rodinghausen | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 30, 2021 | SV Rodinghausen 3-0 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Lotte vs SV Rodinghausen on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Rodinghausen score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Rodinghausen | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Rodinghausen sit 11th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SV Rodinghausen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
- The Footlab model makes SV Rodinghausen the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?
- SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Am Esper Roding Platz 1, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsWiedenbrück
- Oct 3, 2026Bonner SCvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Oct 3, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsBochum II
- Oct 3, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsKöln II
- Oct 3, 2026FC BocholtvsFC Gutersloh
- Oct 3, 2026HildenvsBergisch Gladbach
- Oct 3, 2026Paderborn IIvsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Oct 3, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsBorussia Dortmund II