Match

SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Am Esper Roding Platz 1, Roding

SV RodinghausenSportfreunde Lotte

The Footlab model makes SV Rodinghausen the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate SV Rodinghausen (1,829) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869).

SV Rodinghausen win42 %
Draw26 %
Sportfreunde Lotte win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Rodinghausen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Rodinghausen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Bocholt(away)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 15, 2026Paderborn II(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026Bonner SC(home)2-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(away)0-2Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026Hessen Kassel(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sportfreunde Lotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bochum II(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Bonner SC(away)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026FC Gutersloh(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026Real Betis(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Rodinghausen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2026Sportfreunde Lotte 3-0 SV RodinghausenRegionalliga - West
Aug 2, 2025SV Rodinghausen 1-2 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Apr 5, 2025Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 SV RodinghausenRegionalliga - West
Oct 12, 2024SV Rodinghausen 2-3 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Apr 9, 2022Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 SV RodinghausenRegionalliga - West
Oct 30, 2021SV Rodinghausen 3-0 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Lotte vs SV Rodinghausen on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Rodinghausen score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Rodinghausen1.61.7110/159/15
Sportfreunde Lotte1.02.128/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Rodinghausen sit 11th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11SV Rodinghausen4121565
16Sportfreunde Lotte4022242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
The Footlab model makes SV Rodinghausen the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where and when is SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?
SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Am Esper Roding Platz 1, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SV Rodinghausen and Sportfreunde Lotte

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