Hilden vs Bergisch Gladbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Hoffeldstrasse, Hilden
The Footlab model makes Hilden the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bergisch Gladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hilden vs Bergisch Gladbach?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Hilden (1,946) and Bergisch Gladbach (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hilden have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bergisch Gladbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wulfrath(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hilden win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bergisch Gladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach 4-1 Hilden | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2020 | Bergisch Gladbach 5-3 Hilden | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Hilden on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hilden score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilden | 2.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hilden sit 6th in Regionalliga - West (6 points from 4 matches) and Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hilden | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hilden vs Bergisch Gladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Hilden the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bergisch Gladbach.
- Where and when is Hilden vs Bergisch Gladbach played?
- Hilden vs Bergisch Gladbach is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Hoffeldstrasse, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsWiedenbrück
- Oct 3, 2026Bonner SCvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Oct 3, 2026SV RodinghausenvsSportfreunde Lotte
- Oct 3, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsBochum II
- Oct 3, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsKöln II
- Oct 3, 2026FC BocholtvsFC Gutersloh
- Oct 3, 2026Paderborn IIvsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Oct 3, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsBorussia Dortmund II