Sporting Cascades vs Maya: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Banfora, Banfora
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cascades the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Maya. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sporting Cascades wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Cascades vs Maya?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Sporting Cascades (1,582) and Maya (1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Cascades vs Maya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Cascades
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Cascades lineup.
Maya
Not enough data to predict the Maya lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Cascades have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Maya have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rahimo(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SONABEL(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FocuSport(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Douanes(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CFFEB(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FocuSport(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Douanes(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CFFEB(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Réal du Faso(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | USFA(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Cascades score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maya score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cascades | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Maya | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Cascades sit 12th in Ligue 1 (4 points from 5 matches) and Maya sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maya | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Cascades | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Sporting Cascades vs Maya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Cascades vs Maya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cascades the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Maya.
- Where and when is Sporting Cascades vs Maya played?
- Sporting Cascades vs Maya is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Banfora, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.