Sporting Escaldes vs Carroi: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Camp de Futbol d'Ordino, Ordino
The Footlab model makes Carroi the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Sporting Escaldes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Escaldes vs Carroi?
Carroi starts as the favourite with a 281-point Elo edge (1,325 vs 1,044).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Escaldes have 1 wins, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Carroi have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 23, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(home) | 1-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 1-5 | Copa Constitució |
| Apr 14, 2019 | La Massana(away) | 1-6 | 2a Divisió |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Extremenya(home) | 5-3 | 2a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 0-5 | 1a Divisió |
| Mar 22, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-0 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sporting Escaldes win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Carroi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2019 | Sporting Escaldes 0-5 Carroi | 2a Divisió |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Carroi 14-1 Sporting Escaldes | 2a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Escaldes vs Carroi on Feb 24, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Escaldes score 1.2 and concede 5.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carroi score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Escaldes | 1.2 | 5.5 | 0 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Carroi | 0.5 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Carroi | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 55 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Escaldes vs Carroi?
- The Footlab model makes Carroi the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Sporting Escaldes.
- Where and when is Sporting Escaldes vs Carroi played?
- Sporting Escaldes vs Carroi is played on November 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Camp de Futbol d'Ordino, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.