Girona vs Valladolid: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Girona vs Valladolid?
Girona starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,062 vs 1,908).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Girona vs Valladolid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Girona
4-4-2- 19V. Vanat
- 9Abel Ruiz
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 17Bryan Gil
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 5David López
- 4Javier Boñar
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 21J. Ponceau
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 14Iván Alejo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Girona have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Valladolid have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Girona wins, 1 draw, 1 Valladolid win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | Valladolid 0-1 Girona | La Liga |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Girona 3-0 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Valladolid 1-0 Girona | La Liga |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Girona 2-1 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Valladolid 2-2 Girona | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Girona 1-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Girona score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Valladolid | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Girona sit 5th in Segunda División (18 points from 10 matches) and Valladolid sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Girona | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
A question about Girona vs Valladolid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Girona vs Valladolid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Girona vs Valladolid played?
- Girona vs Valladolid is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.