Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 8Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, San José
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sporting San Jose. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Deportivo Saprissa starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting San Jose have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Deportivo Saprissa have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Boise(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting San Jose win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Deportivo Saprissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 1-3 Deportivo Saprissa | Copa Costa Rica |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 1-2 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sporting San Jose 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Sporting San Jose 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting San Jose score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Saprissa score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Jose | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting San Jose sit 5th in Primera División (8 points from 5 matches) and Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sporting San Jose.
- Where and when is Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa played?
- Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.