Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceño, Liberia
The Footlab model makes Municipal Liberia the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Sporting San Jose. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Municipal Liberia (1,760) and Sporting San Jose (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Liberia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sporting San Jose have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Boise(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Municipal Liberia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sporting San Jose win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 0-1 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Municipal Liberia 1-0 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sporting San Jose 3-0 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Municipal Liberia 2-1 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Municipal Liberia 1-0 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sporting San Jose 2-1 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Liberia score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting San Jose score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Liberia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting San Jose | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?
- The Footlab model makes Municipal Liberia the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Sporting San Jose.
- Where and when is Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose played?
- Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceño, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.