Match

Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Dessel Sport: prediction and stats

First Amateur DivisionVV - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Katteberg, Bilzen

Spouwen-MopertingenDessel Sport

The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Dessel Sport. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Dessel Sport?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,879) and Dessel Sport (1,818).

Spouwen-Mopertingen win49 %
Draw21 %
Dessel Sport win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Dessel Sport have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spouwen-Mopertingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Sporting Hasselt(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Apr 26, 2026Diegem Sport(away)3-2First Amateur Division
Apr 19, 2026Zelzate(home)5-0First Amateur Division
Apr 12, 2026Cercle Brugge II(away)5-0First Amateur Division
Mar 29, 2026Tienen(home)0-2First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Sporting Hasselt(away)0-1First Amateur Division
Apr 18, 2026Cercle Brugge II(home)2-2First Amateur Division
Apr 12, 2026Tienen(away)3-1First Amateur Division
Mar 28, 2026Zelzate(home)3-1First Amateur Division
Mar 21, 2026Knokke(home)4-3First Amateur Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Spouwen-Mopertingen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dessel Sport win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Spouwen-Mopertingen 3-0 Dessel SportFirst Amateur Division
Oct 11, 2025Dessel Sport 3-2 Spouwen-MopertingenFirst Amateur Division
Mar 8, 2025Dessel Sport 0-0 Spouwen-MopertingenFirst Amateur Division
Sep 15, 2024Spouwen-Mopertingen 1-3 Dessel SportFirst Amateur Division

Last archived meeting: Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Dessel Sport on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dessel Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spouwen-Mopertingen2.11.776/1512/15
Dessel Sport1.92.1010/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spouwen-Mopertingen sit 1st in First Amateur Division (25 points from 13 matches) and Dessel Sport sit 7th (16 points from 11 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Spouwen-Mopertingen13742261725
7Dessel Sport11443232116

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Dessel Sport?
The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Dessel Sport.
Where and when is Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Dessel Sport played?
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Dessel Sport is played on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Katteberg, in the First Amateur Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Spouwen-Mopertingen and Dessel Sport

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