Merelbeke vs Knokke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Knokke the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Knokke wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Knokke?
Knokke starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,843).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merelbeke vs Knokke
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Knokke
Not enough data to predict the Knokke lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Knokke have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(home) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-5 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Merelbeke wins, 1 draw, 5 Knokke wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Merelbeke 2-3 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Knokke 2-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Knokke 3-2 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Merelbeke 1-1 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Knokke 3-0 Merelbeke | Cup |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Merelbeke 0-2 Knokke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Knokke score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Knokke | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merelbeke sit 14th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Knokke sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knokke | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 14 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Merelbeke vs Knokke?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Knokke?
- The Footlab AI model makes Knokke the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Knokke played?
- Merelbeke vs Knokke is played on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.