Merelbeke vs Knokke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab model makes Knokke the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Knokke?
Knokke starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Knokke have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Merelbeke win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Knokke win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Merelbeke 2-3 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Knokke 2-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Knokke 3-2 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Merelbeke 1-1 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Knokke 3-0 Merelbeke | Cup |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Merelbeke 0-2 Knokke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Knokke score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Knokke | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merelbeke sit 14th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Knokke sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knokke | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 14 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Knokke?
- The Footlab model makes Knokke the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Knokke played?
- Merelbeke vs Knokke is played on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.