Vreden vs Sprockhovel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 22Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden
The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Sprockhovel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vreden vs Sprockhovel?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Vreden (1,658) and Sprockhovel (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Sprockhovel have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 7-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Vreden win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sprockhovel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Vreden 1-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Sprockhovel 2-4 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Vreden 2-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Sprockhovel 1-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Sprockhovel 1-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Vreden 2-1 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sprockhovel score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vreden | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sprockhovel | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vreden sit 4th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 2 matches) and Sprockhovel sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Sprockhovel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vreden vs Sprockhovel?
- The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Sprockhovel.
- Where and when is Vreden vs Sprockhovel played?
- Vreden vs Sprockhovel is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsMaaslingen
- Mar 14, 2027HiltrupvsSchermbeck
- Mar 14, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsGievenbeck
- Mar 14, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsEnnepetal
- Mar 14, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsErkenschwick
- Mar 14, 2027ASC DortmundvsEintracht Rheine
- Mar 14, 2027Arminia IIvsTuS Hordel
- Mar 14, 2027Verl IIvsLippstadt 08