Match

Casertana vs Sorrento: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 29Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto, Caserta

CasertanaSorrento

The Footlab AI model makes Casertana the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Sorrento. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,931 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Casertana vs Sorrento?

On Elo ratings, Casertana has 1,862 points and Sorrento 1,764.

58%25%17%
Casertana winDrawSorrento win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Casertana vs Sorrento

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Casertana

4-3-3
  1. 10J. Manconi
  2. 9D. Castelli
  3. 20A. Bentivegna
  1. 18S. Oukhadda
  2. 21F. Vezzoni
  3. 8S. Girelli
  1. 11G. Favale
  2. 23P. Martino
  3. 33G. Rocchi
  4. 4I. Kontek
  1. 1V. De Lucia

Sorrento

4-3-3
  1. 7E. Starita
  2. 9S. Parker
  3. 19A. Bolzan
  1. 8M. Cuccurullo
  2. 28L. Capezzi
  3. 3L. Crecco
  1. 33A. Viscardi
  2. 6F. Fusco
  3. 2M. Puzone
  4. 27C. Loreto
  1. 22S. Harrasser

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 08:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casertana have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sorrento have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Casertana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Casarano(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 31, 2026Giugliano(away)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 23, 2026Bari(home)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 18, 2026Sorrento(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 10, 2026SS Monopoli(home)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Sorrento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Team Altamura(home)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 27, 2026Savoia(away)0-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Oct 24, 2026Inter U23(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 18, 2026Casertana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Scafatese(away)2-3Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Casertana wins, 2 draws, 0 Sorrento wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Sorrento 0-0 CasertanaSerie C - Girone C
Mar 30, 2026Casertana 2-0 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C
Nov 22, 2025Sorrento 1-2 CasertanaSerie C - Girone C
Mar 16, 2025Casertana 4-0 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C
Nov 4, 2024Sorrento 1-1 CasertanaSerie C - Girone C
Apr 27, 2024Casertana 5-2 SorrentoSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Sorrento vs Casertana on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Casertana score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sorrento score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Casertana1.31.249/157/15
Sorrento1.11.076/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Casertana sit 6th in Serie C - Girone C (20 points from 13 matches) and Sorrento sit 4th (20 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Sorrento12624161320
6Casertana13553171520

A question about Casertana vs Sorrento?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Casertana vs Sorrento?
The Footlab AI model makes Casertana the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Sorrento.
Where and when is Casertana vs Sorrento played?
Casertana vs Sorrento is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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