SS Monopoli vs Cavese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Cavese. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Cavese?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate SS Monopoli (1,800) and Cavese (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Monopoli have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cavese have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Foggia(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SS Monopoli win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cavese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Cavese 1-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SS Monopoli 0-2 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SS Monopoli 3-1 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Cavese 0-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 21, 2021 | SS Monopoli 1-0 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Cavese 0-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Cavese vs SS Monopoli on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SS Monopoli score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cavese score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Monopoli | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Cavese | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Monopoli vs Cavese?
- The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Cavese.
- Where and when is SS Monopoli vs Cavese played?
- SS Monopoli vs Cavese is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.