SS Monopoli vs Cavese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
The Footlab AI model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Cavese. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Cavese?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate SS Monopoli (1,735) and Cavese (1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SS Monopoli vs Cavese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SS Monopoli
3-4-2-1- 10M. Fall
- 8C. Battocchio
- 15J. Greco
- 19R. Calcagni
- 18S. Paukstys
- 72A. Cortinovis
- 60F. Gioielli
- 16B. Valenti
- 33E. Olivieri
- 6S. Piccinini
- 22M. Tommasi
Cavese
4-3-3- 24F. Orlando
- 82G. Fusco
- 7E. Minaj
- 5T. Awua
- 20G. Esposito
- 4E. Visconti
- 25Manuel Peretti
- 17F. Nunziata
- 28T. Mannucci
- 77M. Macchi
- 12V. Boffelli
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Monopoli have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Cavese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Scafatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SS Monopoli wins, 0 draws, 2 Cavese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Cavese 1-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SS Monopoli 0-2 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SS Monopoli 3-1 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Cavese 0-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 21, 2021 | SS Monopoli 1-0 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Cavese 0-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Cavese vs SS Monopoli on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SS Monopoli score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cavese score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Monopoli | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Cavese | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SS Monopoli sit 12th in Serie C - Girone C (12 points from 9 matches) and Cavese sit 11th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 12 | SS Monopoli | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 |
A question about SS Monopoli vs Cavese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Monopoli vs Cavese?
- The Footlab AI model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Cavese.
- Where and when is SS Monopoli vs Cavese played?
- SS Monopoli vs Cavese is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.