SS Monopoli vs Cosenza: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Cosenza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Cosenza?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate SS Monopoli (1,800) and Cosenza (1,833).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Monopoli have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cosenza have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Foggia(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 6, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 1-5 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 SS Monopoli win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cosenza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | Cosenza 0-2 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 24, 2025 | SS Monopoli 2-2 Cosenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 17, 2025 | SS Monopoli 1-0 Cosenza | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Cosenza 2-1 SS Monopoli | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 11, 2019 | SS Monopoli 1-0 Cosenza | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Cosenza vs SS Monopoli on Jan 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SS Monopoli score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cosenza score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Monopoli | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Cosenza | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cosenza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Monopoli vs Cosenza?
- The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Cosenza.
- Where and when is SS Monopoli vs Cosenza played?
- SS Monopoli vs Cosenza is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.