SS Monopoli vs Crotone: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Crotone. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate SS Monopoli (1,820) and Crotone (1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Monopoli have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Crotone have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Foggia(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 6, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Latina(home) | 2-5 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SS Monopoli win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Crotone win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | SS Monopoli 1-1 Crotone | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Crotone 0-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Crotone 2-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 12, 2024 | SS Monopoli 1-1 Crotone | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Crotone 3-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SS Monopoli 0-3 Crotone | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: SS Monopoli vs Crotone on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SS Monopoli score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crotone score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Monopoli | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Crotone | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SS Monopoli sit 7th in Serie C - Girone C (56 points from 38 matches) and Crotone sit 6th (61 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59 | 40 | 61 |
| 7 | SS Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 41 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
- The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Crotone.
- Where and when is SS Monopoli vs Crotone played?
- SS Monopoli vs Crotone is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.