Savoia vs Casarano: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alfredo Giraud, Torre Annunziata
The Footlab model makes Savoia the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Casarano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Savoia vs Casarano?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Savoia (1,888) and Casarano (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Savoia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Casarano have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-4 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 10, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 3, 2026 | Sancataldese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 20, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 13, 2026 | Renate(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Savoia score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Casarano score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savoia | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Casarano | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Savoia sit 16th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 1 matches) and Casarano sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Savoia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Casarano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Savoia vs Casarano?
- The Footlab model makes Savoia the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Casarano.
- Where and when is Savoia vs Casarano played?
- Savoia vs Casarano is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alfredo Giraud, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.