Catania vs Barletta: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Barletta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Catania vs Barletta?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Catania (1,871) and Barletta (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Barletta have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Parma(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| May 27, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-4 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 30, 2026 | Vado(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 24, 2026 | Vado(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 17, 2026 | Scafatese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Catania score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Barletta score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catania | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Barletta | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Catania sit 17th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 1 matches) and Barletta sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Barletta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Catania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Catania vs Barletta?
- The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Barletta.
- Where and when is Catania vs Barletta played?
- Catania vs Barletta is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Angelo Massimino, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.