SSV Merten vs Düren Merzenich: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, Bornheim
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for Düren Merzenich. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Merten vs Düren Merzenich?
SSV Merten starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Merten have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Düren Merzenich have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 SSV Merten win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Düren Merzenich win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Düren Merzenich 0-2 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 27, 2025 | SSV Merten 3-1 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Düren Merzenich vs SSV Merten on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Düren Merzenich score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Düren Merzenich | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSV Merten sit 4th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (60 points from 30 matches) and Düren Merzenich sit 11th (38 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
| 11 | Düren Merzenich | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 59 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Merten vs Düren Merzenich?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for Düren Merzenich.
- Where and when is SSV Merten vs Düren Merzenich played?
- SSV Merten vs Düren Merzenich is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.